Game Information
Missouri Tigers (16-7) at Texas A&M Aggies (17-6)
Time: 8pm CT Wednesday
How to watch: SEC Network
DraftKings Odds
Spread: A&M -6.5
Total: 157.5
KenPom Projection
Texas A&M 81, Mizzou 74
The Missouri Tigers continue their quest for an NCAA Tournament bid when they challenge the Texas A&M Aggies tonight in College Station.
Mizzou picked up an important road win at South Carolina over the weekend, lifting the Tigers to 6-4 in the SEC and leaving them needing to go 4-4 in their final eight games to secure a winning conference record and a likely bid to the Big Dance.
I wrote in this space that I liked the Tigers’ chances to beat the Gamecocks because South Carolina is not set up to exploit some of the weaknesses that Missouri has.
Unfortunately, I think the Aggies are a bad matchup for Mizzou.
The Tigers have a propensity to turn the ball over, ranking 263rd out of 365 Division One teams in turnover rate. The Aggies rank a solid 59th in the country in forcing turnovers, and they’re second in the SEC in turning teams over in conference play.
And three-point defense has been an issue for Missouri all season, as the Tigers rank #274 in the nation in that department. Texas A&M can light it up from deep, hitting 37.0% of their 3-point attempts this season (39th in the country).
Nearly half of A&M’s shot attempts come from behind the arc (47.8%), so Missouri needs to hope for an off shooting night from its opponent. Unfortunately, I think the Aggies are due for some progression to the mean after going 9-of-34 from 3 in a loss to Florida last time out.
It’s hard to win away from home in the SEC, and kudos to Missouri for getting it done at South Carolina. But it’s a tough ask to win back-to-back road games, especially against an A&M team that is hungry to respond after losing consecutive games to quality teams in Alabama and Florida. More winnable games are coming for the Tigers, but I think this one gets away from them tonight.
Pick: Texas A&M -6.5 at -112 on DraftKings (bet to -7.5)
Eric Sontag hosts Domesticated Gamblers every week on the STL Sports Central YouTube channel. Follow him on X @GamblingDads, and click here for his daily picks on all of our St. Louis area sports teams. Get Eric's picks for all sports by following him in the Action Network app with the username "esontag". Disclaimer